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Публикация
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The Coming Epoch of New Coalitions: Possible Global Scenarios

Автор
Коротаев Андрей Витальевич
 
Соавторы
Гринин Л.Е.
 
Тип публикации
Глава монографии
 
Язык публикации
Русский
 
Аффилиация
Globalistics and Globalization Studies
 
Издательство
Moscow – Volgograd: Moscow University – Uchitel
 
Год
2012
 
Количество страниц
366-393
 
Количество п.л.
2.50
 
Количество п.л. автора
1.00
 

Аннотация
This article analyzes some important aspects of socioeconomic and political development of the world in the near future. The future always stems from the present. The first part of the article is devoted to the study of some crucial events of the present, which could be regarded as precursors of forthcoming fundamental changes. In particular, it is shown that the turbulent events of late 2010 and 2011 in the Arab World may well be regarded as a start of the global reconfiguration. The article also offers an analysis of some aspects of the global financial system that, according to the authors, notwithstanding all its negative points, performs certain important positive functions including the ‘insurance’ of social guaranties at the global scale. The second part of the article considers some global scenarios of the World System's new future and describes a few characteristics of the forthcoming ‘Epoch of New Coalitions’. The article attempts to answer the following questions: What are the implications of the economic weakening of the USA as the World System center? Will the future World System have a leader? Will it experience a global governance deficit? Will the world fragmentation increase?

Ключевые слова
Arab spring, World System's leader, world reconfiguration, global crisis, sovereignty

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