A Trap At The Escape From The Trap? Demographic-Structural Factors of Political Instability in Modern Africa and West Asia
The escape from the ‘Malthusian trap’ can generate serious political upheavals. We analyze the demographic-structural mechanisms that generate such upheavals and develop a mathematical model of the respective processes. The model yields a forecast of political instability in African and West Asian countries for 2012–2050.
Malthusian trap.demographic-structural mechanisms,mathematical model,African and West Asian countries, forecasting,political instability